Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.893179 4.157520 4.443700 4.778961 5.164163 5.596946 6.125914
2025-04-06 3.487962 3.836001 4.234937 4.734013 5.353841 6.116405 7.157377
2025-04-13 3.131345 3.517197 3.978420 4.585451 5.389052 6.460085 8.087151
2025-04-20 2.957603 3.392962 3.936174 4.691017 5.765200 7.343518 10.114451
2025-04-27 2.814047 3.288912 3.904730 4.805316 6.182759 8.432328 13.155921
2025-05-04 2.725008 3.244198 3.944318 5.025055 6.817863 10.155132 19.289102
2025-05-11 2.606213 3.147059 3.899002 5.111973 7.270665 11.826223 29.031631
2025-05-18 2.480182 3.027912 3.807913 5.111921 7.576413 13.430051 46.688460
2025-05-25 2.317633 2.844612 3.603960 4.896434 7.416845 13.813696 63.319730
2025-06-01 2.203327 2.722236 3.481018 4.802241 7.486114 14.954811 123.754161
2025-06-08 2.114211 2.630041 3.395961 4.762259 7.665231 16.680973 1279.920847
2025-06-15 2.063573 2.590423 3.388922 4.861368 8.197801 20.556878 NaN
2025-06-22 1.979663 2.503882 3.312203 4.845952 8.529507 24.936867 NaN
2025-06-29 1.888233 2.400891 3.201077 4.751001 8.639716 28.953407 NaN
2025-07-06 1.789376 2.281367 3.054130 4.567124 8.453195 30.773736 NaN
2025-07-13 1.742940 2.240068 3.035665 4.645076 9.096122 45.756473 NaN
2025-07-20 1.701833 2.204370 3.023564 4.736231 9.863966 84.371597 NaN
2025-07-27 1.678079 2.194419 3.055476 4.932853 11.200860 894.735319 NaN
2025-08-03 1.638710 2.156687 3.033911 5.003441 12.142429 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 1.592481 2.105045 2.982394 4.993286 12.743119 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.525771 2.016562 2.856335 4.779726 12.176253 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.477345 1.956410 2.780072 4.684447 12.223508 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 1.438386 1.910254 2.727223 4.642406 12.563554 NaN NaN